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Fantasy Football Projections and Ratings: 2011 Week 1
| Sure Fire Freak | |||||||
| Rank | Player / Projection | Points | Matchup | Comment | |||
| 1 | Michael Vick 232 yds 1.8 TDs | 24.0 | @ | The Rams may have ranked 9th against QBs last season, but they didn't face anyone like Vick. | |||
| 2 | Aaron Rodgers 275 yds 2.0 TDs | 22.2 | vs | What a way to start out the season, getting the #1 ranked defense against QBs in the New Orleans Saints. The Saints only allowed 12 fantasy points per game last year, but I expect Rodgers to have good game in the season opener. | |||
| Solid Freakin Start | |||||||
| Rank | Player / Projection | Points | Matchup | Comment | |||
| 3 | Philip Rivers 264 yds 2.0 TDs | 18.8 | vs | Rivers has looked solid in the preseason, but that comes as no surprise. He's one of the steadiest QBs in the league. Minnesota was above average against the pass last year, but they never faced the Chargers aerial attack. | |||
| 4 | Tom Brady 255 yds 2.0 TDs | 18.2 | @ | He averaged 12.5 points over two games versus Miami last season. | |||
| 5 | Drew Brees 271 yds 1.8 TDs | 18.1 | @ | A taste of things to come maybe with playing the Packers to kick off the 2011 football season. The Packers were ranked 4th last year against QBs allowing only 215 yards and 1 TD per game. | |||
| 6 | Josh Freeman 222 yds 1.3 TDs | 17.7 | vs | Freeman was average against Detroit in week 15 with 250 yards and 1 TD. That should be his baseline to start 2011. | |||
| Freaky Potential | |||||||
| Rank | Player / Projection | Points | Matchup | Comment | |||
| 7 | Jay Cutler 234 yds 1.2 TDs | 16.9 | vs | Culter and the Bears offense definitely need to improve from last year. Especially on protecting him in the packet. Last year Culter was sacked in every game and 3 or more times in 9 out of 16 games. | |||
| 8 | Matthew Stafford 244 yds 1.6 TDs | 16.8 | @ | Stafford has looked tremendous in the preseason. He gets a top 10 passing defense (Tampa) to open the year, but he can put up numbers on anybody. | |||
| 9 | Ben Roethlisberger 232 yds 1.2 TDs | 16.5 | @ | Ben looked good in his final preseason game vs Atlanta completing 11 of 16 passes for 214 yards and 2 scores. He faces a stellar Baltimore pass defense in week 1. | |||
| 10 | Alex Smith 215 yds 1.8 TDs | 16.5 | vs | Alex Smith is expected to be the starter for their week 1 game against the Seahawks. Smith hasn't played very well this preseason, but gets an easy matchup. Seattle allowed over 250 yards passing and 2 TDs per game in 2010. | |||
| 11 | Kerry Collins 246 yds 1.6 TDs | 16.2 | @ | If Peyton can't go, Collins will get the start. He'll get some good receivers and a good matchup vs Houston, but he hasn't had much time in the offense. | |||
| 12 | Chad Henne 245 yds 1.2 TDs | 16.2 | vs | Henne has played very well this preseason and gets a favorable matchup in week 1. New England is susceptible to the pass ranking 25th against QBs in 2010. | |||
| 13 | Tony Romo 241 yds 1.4 TDs | 15.8 | @ | He's back and he's healthy and starts with a tough test against Darrelle Revis and the Jets secondary. | |||
| 14 | Eli Manning 224 yds 1.6 TDs | 15.7 | @ | Manning gets a very favorable matchup in week 1 with Washington, but didn't play well against them last year racking up a low 6 and 14 fantasy points per game. | |||
| 15 | Matt Schaub 242 yds 1.4 TDs | 15.5 | vs | Schaub only averaged 9 points per game against Indy last season because they were able to run the ball all day long. If Foster misses the opener, then they'll throw it more this time around. | |||
| 16 | Matt Ryan 211 yds 1.6 TDs | 15.2 | @ | Ryan has high expectations this season with new weapon Julio Jones added to the talent pool in Atlanta. The Falcons will look to make a big statement early courtesy of his arm. | |||
| 17 | Kevin Kolb 219 yds 1.4 TDs | 15.1 | vs | Expect Arizona to try and run the ball on Carolina, but Kolb should still get plenty of chances to air it out to Fitzgerald. | |||
| 18 | Joe Flacco 227 yds 1.4 TDs | 15.0 | vs | Flacco will start out the year against the team who knocked them out of the playoffs in 2010. Pittsburg held Flacco to 9 fantasy points in their last meeting. The Ravens lost Derrick Mason, but have added deep threat Lee Evans to the team. | |||
| 19 | Mark Sanchez 232 yds 1.2 TDs | 14.9 | vs | Dallas gives up a lot of passing yards, but Sanchez hasn't been a consistent fantasy scorer even against poor defenses. | |||
| 20 | Sam Bradford 238 yds 1.2 TDs | 14.6 | vs | Heading into his sophomore season there are a lot of high expectations and he can make a statement week 1 if he can put up numbers against an improved Eagles secondary. | |||
| Freakin Longshot | |||||||
| Rank | Player / Projection | Points | Matchup | Comment | |||
| 21 | Colt McCoy 196 yds 0.8 TDs | 13.9 | vs | Overall McCoy has looked very comfortable running the Cleveland offense this preseason. I expect him to take a big step forward in his offensive production and limiting his mistakes. | |||
| 22 | Tarvaris Jackson 212 yds 0.8 TDs | 13.8 | @ | He has looked awful this preseason and I don't have much faith that he'll look any better against the 49ers. Will having Sidney Rice make any difference? | |||
| 23 | Kyle Orton 201 yds 1.2 TDs | 13.5 | vs | As long as he's the starter he's a workable low end QB1. Managed over 275 yards and a score in his last outing against the Raiders. | |||
| 24 | Matt Hasselbeck 198 yds 1.2 TDs | 13.2 | @ | Nice opener versus the Jags, a bottom 10 defense from a year ago. | |||
| 25 | Cam Newton 161 yds 0.6 TDs | 12.8 | @ | He gets the nod as the starting QB week 1, but will be tested against the 10th ranked defense vs QBs. If he continues his preseason play into the regular season with limiting his mistakes then he'll do fine. | |||
| 26 | Ryan Fitzpatrick 194 yds 0.8 TDs | 12.3 | @ | He's looked sharp in preseason action and still has his main weapon Stevie Johnson. Headed back to KC, he's looking to improve on last seasons 16 point performance. | |||
| 27 | Rex Grossman 206 yds 1.0 TDs | 12.3 | vs | He's been named the week 1 starter and will have his chance to show why in week 1 versus the Giants. He closed the 2010 campaign against them putting up 336 yards and 2 TDs. | |||
| 28 | Jason Campbell 204 yds 0.7 TDs | 12.3 | @ | Campbell did play in the preseason finale after recovering from a concussion earlier in the preseason. He played okay against them last year scoring 17 fantasy points in each game. | |||
| 29 | Matt Cassel 168 yds 1.0 TDs | 11.7 | vs | The team says he'll play, but he's dinged up (ribs) so double check the injury report. Last year he was best used for soft passing matchups and he won't be seeing many of those this season. | |||
| 30 | Donovan McNabb 184 yds 0.6 TDs | 10.5 | @ | The veteran QB is now a Viking and has a few weapons to throw to, including Berrian and Harvin. He has a tough road ahead starting the Chargers who were ranked 2nd last year in stopping QBs. Allowing under 200 yards per game. | |||
| 31 | Andy Dalton 185 yds 0.6 TDs | 10.2 | @ | Dalton has shown signs of promise in the preseason and gets a favorable matchup in week 1 against Cleveland. The Browns were ranked 15th against QBs last year. | |||
 | Ruled Out This Week | ||||||
| Rank | Player / Projection | Points | Matchup | Comment | |||
| - | David Garrard | 0.0 | vs | Released from Jags. | |||
| - | Peyton Manning | 0.0 | @ | He is currently doubtful for week 1. Even if he plays, he's not going to be 100%. Have your backup QB ready. | |||
| - | Peyton Manning | 0.0 | @ | He's been ruled out of the season opener (neck). Kerry Collins will get the start. | |||
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